Monday, August 20: Tim Wakefield (14-10)(BOS) vs. Scott Kazmir (9-7)(TB)
I find this match up of veteran knuckle-baller against the young flame-thrower compelling. Though I suspect the real story will be the Boston bats and how well they'll contrast compared to all the Devil Rays not named Carl Crawford.
Red Sox 6, Devil Rays 0
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)Red Sox player of the game: (3B) Mike Lowell - WPA +.207
2/2, 1R, 1HR, 3RBI, 2BB, 0SO
Red Sox lowest contributor: (LF) Bobby Kielty - WPA -.075
0/5, 1R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 1SO
Devil Rays player of the game: (3B) Akinori Iwamura - WPA +.016
0/3, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 1BB, 1SO
Devil Rays lowest contributor: (SP) Scott Kazmir - WPA -.305
5.2IP, 7H, 6R, 6ER, 4BB, 8SO, 1HR
Scott Kazmir: 5.2IP, 7H, 6R, 6ER, 4BB, 8SO, 1HR - L
The Rays were bedeviled by the knuckleball as Wakefield danced his way to victory. Or at least his knuckler did. Kazmir had the strikeouts. But the 6 earned runs were his undoing.
Tuesday, August 21: Chris Young (9-4)(SD) vs. John Maine (13-7)(NYM)
This one is an easy call. Two of the best NL starting pitchers working it at Shea.
Padres 6, Mets 7
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)Padres player of the game: (CF) Mike Cameron - WPA +.372
2/3, 2R, 1HR, 2RBI, 2BB, 0SO
Padres lowest contributor: (RP) Trevor Hoffman - WPA -.791
0.1IP, 4H, 2R, 2ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR
Mets player of the game: (CF) Carlos Beltran - WPA +.547
3/3, 1R, 1HR, 5RBI, 1BB, 0SO
Mets lowest contributor: (RP) Jorge Sosa - WPA -.353
0.1IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR
Heath Bell: 1.0IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 1SO, 0HR - BS
Trevor Hoffman: 0.1IP, 4H, 2R, 2ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - BS, L
John Maine: 5.2IP, 6H, 3R, 3ER, 4BB, 4SO, 1HR - ND
Scott Schoeneweis: 1.0IP, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - H
Jorge Sosa: 0.1IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - BS
Billy Wagner: 1.0IP, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 2SO, 0HR - W
You look at the bullpen performance in this game and there's reason for concern for both of these contenders. Three blown saves and the win is credited to a closer despite a shaky outing. This does not bode well for the final push down the stretch for either of these teams.
Wednesday, August 22: Daisuke Matsuzaka (13-9)(BOS) vs. Edwin Jackson (3-12)(TB)
I'm in this one more for the Dice-K saga than the Edwin Jackson record of pain. But I'm sure that 3-12 record looks worse than it is given the team he's pitching for.
Red Sox 1, Devil Rays 2
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)Red Sox player of the game: (DH) David Ortiz - WPA +.215
2/2, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 3BB, 0SO
Red Sox lowest contributor: (C) Jason Varitek - WPA -.338
0.5, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 2SO
Devil Rays player of the game: (SP) Edwin Jackson - WPA +.217
6.0IP, 5H, 1R, 1ER, 5BB, 3SO, 0HR
Devil Rays lowest contributor: (1B) Joel Guzman - WPA -.091
0/3, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 1BB, 2SO
Daisuke Matsuzaka: 6.0IP, 2H, 2R, 2ER, 4BB, 8SO, 1HR - L
Edwin Jackson: 6.0IP, 5H, 1R, 1ER, 5BB, 3SO, 0HR - W
Dan Wheeler: 1.0IP, 2H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 2SO, 0HR - H
Gary Glover: 1.0IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - H
Al Reyes: 1.0IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR - SV
The Devil Rays only gave him 2 runs of support to work with, but that was enough for Edwin Jackson to overcome the Dice-K machine.
Edwin Jackson: 6.0IP, 5H, 1R, 1ER, 5BB, 3SO, 0HR - W
Dan Wheeler: 1.0IP, 2H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 2SO, 0HR - H
Gary Glover: 1.0IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - H
Al Reyes: 1.0IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR - SV
The Devil Rays only gave him 2 runs of support to work with, but that was enough for Edwin Jackson to overcome the Dice-K machine.
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