Wednesday, August 22, 2007

3 Picks: Eyes on the American League


Thursday, August 23: Jake Westbrook (4-7)(CLE) vs. Nate Robertson (7-10)(DET)

There's no way I would have anticipated losing records for both of these starters back in April. Two starters having off-years go at it in this one.
Indians 3, Tigers 1 (10)
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Indians player of the game: (SP) Jake Westbrook - WPA +.563
8.0IP, 5H, 0R, 0ER, 2BB, 3SO, 0HR
Indians lowest contributor: (RF) Franklin Gutierrez - WPA -.320
0/4, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 2SO

Tigers player of the game: (SP) Nate Robertson - WPA +.600
8.2IP, 4H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 3SO, 0HR
Tigers lowest contributor: (RP) Joel Zumaya - WPA -.358
1.0IP, 3H, 3R, 3ER, 2BB, 1SO, 0HR

Jake Westbrook: 8.0IP, 5H, 0R, 0ER, 2BB, 3SO, 0HR - ND
Rafael Perez: 0.1IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0BB - W
Joe Borowski: 1.0IP, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - SV

Nate Robertson: 8.2IP, 4H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 3SO, 0HR - ND
Joel Zumaya: 1.0IP, 3H, 3R, 3ER, 2BB, 1SO, 0HR - L

A rough end to a well pitched game. This victory puts the Tribe 2 1/2 games over the Tigers in the division race. It figures that this would be the day I put Zumaya on the fantasy roster...

Friday, August 24: CC Sabathia (14-6)(CLE) vs. Zack Greinke (5-5)(KC)

Greinke returns as a starter in this one. Which is a good sign as there's plenty of reason to build the Royals' future around his talent.
Indians 1, Royals 2
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Indians player of the game: (2B) Asdrubal Cabrera - WPA +.188
2/3, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 0SO
Indians lowest contributor: (3B) Casey Blake - WPA -.189
0/4, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 0SO

Royals player of the game: (RP) John Bale - WPA +.204
3.0IP, 2H, 0R 0ER, 0BB, 5SO, 0HR
Royals lowest contributor: (C) John Buck - WPA -.084
0/3, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 0SO

CC Sabathia: 8.0IP, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 6SO, 0HR - L

Zack Greinke: 3.0IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 1BB, 2SO, 0HR - ND
John Bale: 3.0IP, 2H, 0R 0ER, 0BB, 5SO, 0HR - W
Jimmy Gobble: 0.2IP, 0H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR - H
Joel Peralta: 0.1IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - H
David Riske: 1.0IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - H
Joakim Soria: 1.0IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR - SV

Saturday, August 25: Chien-Ming Wang (14-6)(NYY) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (10-6)(DET)

Wang hasn't pitched well over his last three starts even though he's gone 1-1 over that span. And it was the Tigers that failed to capitalize on Wang's last start. We'll see if Bonderman can keep the cat bats in the game this time around.
Yankees 7, Tigers 2
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Yankees player of the game: (SP) Chien-Ming Wang - WPA +.163
8.0IP, 5H, 2R, 1ER, 2BB, 6SO, 0HR
Yankees lowest contributor: (C) Jorge Posada - WPA -.117
0/5, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 0SO

Tigers player of the game: (3B) Brandon Inge - WPA +.163
2/3, 1R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 0SO
Tigers lowest contributor: (SP) Jeremy Bonderman - WPA -.352
5.2IP, 8H, 7R, 7ER, 4BB, 0SO, 1HR

Chien-Ming Wang: 8.0IP, 5H, 2R, 1ER, 2BB, 6SO, 0HR - W

Jeremy Bonderman: 5.2IP, 8H, 7R, 7ER, 4BB, 0SO, 1HR - L

3-picks will be on hiatus for the next couple of weeks...

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