3 Picks: Eyes on the National League

Tuesday, September 11: Jake Peavy (16-6)(SD) vs. Esteban Loaiza (2-0)(LAD)

Padres 9, Dodgers 4

(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Padres player of the game: (RF) Brian Giles - WPA +.163
2/4, 2R, 1HR, 2RBI, 1BB, 0SO
Padres lowest contributor: (RP) Kevin Cameron - WPA -.066
0.0IP, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR

Dodgers player of the game: (2B) Jeff Kent - WPA +.110
3/5, 0R, 0HR, 1RBI, 0BB, 0SO
Dodgers lowest contributor: (SP) Esteban Loaiza - WPA -.335
3.1IP, 6H, 6R, 6ER, 4BB, 5SO, 3HR

Jake Peavy: 7.0IP, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 5SO, 1HR - W

Esteban Loaiza: 3.1IP, 6H, 6R, 6ER, 4BB, 5SO, 3HR - L


Wednesday, September 12: John Smoltz (13-7)(ATL) vs. John Maine (14-9)(NYM)

Braves 3, Mets 4

(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Braves player of the game: (RF) Jeff Francoeur - WPA +.293
1/3, 0R, 0HR, 2RBI, 1BB, 1SO
Braves lowest contributor: (RP) Manuel Acosta - WPA -.221
1.0IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR

Mets player of the game: (SP) John Maine - WPA +.247
6.0IP, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 3BB, 5SO, 0HR
Mets lowest contributor: (RP) Guillermo Mota - WPA -.194
0.1IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR

John Smoltz: 6.0IP, 6H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 8SO, 1HR - ND
Manuel Acosta: 1.0IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - L

John Maine: 6.0IP, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 3BB, 5SO, 0HR - ND
Jorge Sosa: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - H
Aaron Heilman: 0.2IP, 1H, 2R, 2ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR - H
Guillermo Mota: 0.1IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - BS, W
Billy Wagner: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - SV


Thursday, September 13: Adam Wainwright (13-10)(STL) vs. Aaron Harang (14-4)(CIN)

Cardinals 5, Reds 5

(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Cardinals player of the game: (1B) Albert Pujols - WPA +.070
1/2, 1R, 0HR, 2RBI, 0BB, 0SO
Cardinals lowest contributor: (SP) Kip Wells WPA -.256
4.2IP, 10H, 5R, 5ER, 6BB, 2SO, 1HR

Reds player of the game: (1B) Joey Votto - WPA +.272
3/4, 1R, 0HR, 2RBI, 0BB, 0SO
Reds lowest contributor: (RF) Ken Griffey Jr. - WPA -.160
1/4, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 0SO

Kip Wells: 4.2IP, 10H, 5R, 5ER, 6BB, 2SO, 1HR - L

Aaron Harang: 7.0IP, 3H, 3R, 3ER, 2BB, 5SO, 0HR - W
David Weathers: 1.0IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - SV