Pythagorean Win % Projections - NL West

Here are the current win projections for the NL West with data through July 3:

	NL West - Projections as of July 3, 2007
	projected final record based on win%
1	San Diego Padres	.573	93 - 69
2	Los Angeles Dodgers	.571	93 - 69
3	Arizona Diamondbacks	.553	90 - 72
4	Colorado Rockies	.488	79 - 83
5	San Francisco Giants	.432	70 - 92

And the Pythagorean Win % projections:

	NL West - Projections as of July 3, 2007
	projected final record based on Pythagorean Win%
1	San Diego Padres	.610	99 - 63
2	Los Angeles Dodgers	.550	89 - 73
3	San Francisco Giants	.509	82 - 82
4	Colorado Rockies	.477	77 - 85
5	Arizona Diamondbacks	.476	77 - 85

The only real surprise is just how far above the Pythagorean Win formula the Arizona Diamondbacks are performing - suggesting that they are due for a major correction in the second half of the season. The flip side of that is that the San Francisco Giants are currently well under their projections and will probably improve down the stretch.