Monday, July 30, 2007

Pythagorean Win % Projections - AL West

The AL West division is the one I feel closest to, even if my current geography is somewhat remote to that region. Go Mariners.


AL West - Projections as of July 30, 2007

projected final record based on win%
1 Los Angeles Angels .587 95 - 67
2 Seattle Mariners .558 90 - 72
3 Oakland Athletics .462 75 - 87
4 Texas Rangers .438 71 - 91


AL West - Projections as of July 30, 2007

projected final record based on Pythagorean Win%
1 Los Angeles Angels .553 90 - 72
2 Seattle Mariners .508 82 - 80
3 Oakland Athletics .501 81 - 81
4 Texas Rangers .452 73 - 89

Unfortunately, the Seattle Mariners are currently performing well above their Pythagorean projection and are probably headed for a correction if they continue to score and allow runs at their current rate. After running these numbers for all the divisions in the majors it looks like the Yankees will be in the Wild Card race for the remainder of the season and will probably weasel their way into the post season via that berth. But with the M's just 3 games behind the Angels at this point I can hope against probability for now.

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