Saturday, July 14, 2007

3 Picks: A Couple Games in Domes and A Shiny Penny in LA


Sunday, July 15: Dan Haren (10-3)(OAK) vs. Boof Bonser (5-6)(MIN)
Athletics 3, Twins 4
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Athletics player of the game: (CF) Mark Kotsay - WPA +.198
1/2, 1R, 0HR, 0RBI, 2BB, 0SO
Athletics lowest contributor: (RP) Joe Kennedy - WPA -.357
0.0IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR

Twins player of the game: (RP) Pat Neshek - WPA +.225
1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 1BB, 2SO, 0HR
Twins lowest contributor: (RP) Matt Guerrier - WPA -.195
0.2IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR

Dan Haren: 6.0IP, 7H, 2R, 2ER, 3BB, 3SO, 0HR - ND
Santiago Casilla: 1.1IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 0SO, 1HR - BS
Joe Kennedy: 0.0IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR - L

Boof Bonser: 6.1IP, 5H, 3R, 3ER, 3BB, 6SO, 1HR - ND
Matt Guerrier: 0.2IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - BS
Pat Neshek: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 1BB, 2SO, 0HR - W

So Twins' reliever Pat Neshek records the win in a game that had blown saves for each side. Good for him. It's hard not to root for the side-arm reliever who has clearly earned - and enjoys - his success.

Monday, July 16: Jamie Moyer (7-7)(PHI) vs. Brad Penny (10-1)(LAD)
Phillies 3, Dodgers 10
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Phillies player of the game: (SS) Jimmy Rollins - WPA +.057
0/2, 1R, 0HR, 0RBI, 1BB, 0SO
Phillies lowest contributor: (SP) Jamie Moyer - WPA -.371
5.1IP, 10H, 10R, 10ER, 2BB, 4SO, 2HR

Dodgers player of the game: (CF) Juan Pierre - WPA +.156
2/4, 2R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 0SO
Dodgers lowest contributor: TIE (RF) Matt Kemp - WPA -.016
1/4, 1R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0BB, 0SO
& (LF) Andre Ethier - WPA -.016
1/4, 1R, 0HR, 1RBI, 0BB, 0SO

Jamie Moyer: 5.1IP, 10H, 10R, 10ER, 2BB, 4SO, 2HR - L

Brad Penny: 7.0IP, 4H, 1R, 1ER, 3BB, 8SO, 0HR - W

Jamie Moyer is one of my all-time favorite pitchers. So it pains me to see him cough up 10 earned runs like this. It does tell you something about the patience level of the Dodgers' hitters that they could get to the crafty lefty like that.

Tuesday, July 17: Bartolo Colon (6-4)(LAA) vs. James Shields (7-5)(TB)
Angels 3, Devil Rays 8
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Angels player of the game: (C) Jose Molina - WPA +.104
2/4, 0R, 0HR, 2RBI, 0BB, 0SO
Angels lowest contributor: (SP) Ervin Santana - WPA -.410
6.0IP, 14H, 7R, 7ER, 4BB, 4SO, 0HR

Devil Rays player of the game: (1B) Carlos Pena - WPA +.176
2/4, 1R, 0HR, 2RBI, 1BB, 2SO
Devil Rays lowest contributor: (3B) Akinori Iwamura - WPA -.135
0/5, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 2SO
Ervin Santana: 6.0IP, 14H, 7R, 7ER, 4BB, 4SO, 0HR - L

James Shields:7.0IP, 7H, 2R, 2ER, 1BB, 2SO, 0HR - W

Ervin Santana got the call as Bartolo Colon was bumped by a day to face Scott Kazmir tomorrow. But today Ervin was simply terrible as he allowed 14! hits in 6 innings of work and the 7 earned runs were more than enough to saddle him with the loss. With an ERA north of 6 for the season it's hard to believe anyone was considering trading good bats for him last year at this time. James Shields, on the other hand, is the breakout performer of this year.

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