Pythagorean Win % Projections - AL East

Here's a look at the current Pythagorean Win % projections for the AL East as of July 29. First, here's the current win percentage projections:

	AL East - Projections as of July 29, 2007
	projected final record based on win%
1	Boston Red Sox	.615	100 - 62
2	New York Yankees	.529	86 - 76
3	Toronto Blue Jays	.495	80 - 82
4	Baltimore Orioles	.476	77 - 85
5	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	.369	60 - 102

And here's the Pythagorean Win % projections:

	AL East - Projections as of July 29, 2007
	projected final record based on Pythagorean Win%
1	Boston Red Sox	.623	101 - 61
2	New York Yankees	.597	97 - 65
3	Toronto Blue Jays	.526	85 - 77
4	Baltimore Orioles	.514	83 - 79
5	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	.363	59 - 103

A couple of interesting things emerge from these projections. The Pythagorean projections show no change in the current division standings from the current state. And with the exception of the Tampa Bay Devil Rays, all the AL East teams are currently under performing their Pythagorean win rate. But with the Yankees projected to win 97 games at their current ratio of runs scored versus runs allowed they actually have a better chance at passing the Cleveland Indians for the Wild Card Berth than I would have thought (or wished).