Monday, July 23, 2007

3 Picks: Dice-K Meets the CC


Tuesday, July 24: Daisuke Matsuzaka (11-7)(BOS) vs. CC Sabathia (13-4)(CLE)

This could be the match up of the year. A good day to be a fan in Cleveland.
Red Sox 1, Indians 0
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Red Sox player of the game: (SP) Diasuke Matsuzaka - WPA +.500

Red Sox lowest contributor: (CF) Coco Crisp - WPA -.118
0/4, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 2SO

Indians player of the game: (SP) CC Sabathia - WPA +.259

Indians lowest contributor: (SS) Jhonny Peralta - WPA -.248
0/4, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 1SO

Daisuke Matsuzaka: 7.0IP, 4H, 0R, 0ER, 3BB, 5SO, 0HR - W
Hideki Okajima: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - H
Jonathan Papelbon: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 2SO - SV

CC Sabathia: 7.0IP, 5H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 7SO, 0HR - L

Well pitched all around, this probably was one of the best games of the season. Dice-K and the Boston bullpen managed a shutout exactly when they needed it against the Cleveland ace.

Wednesday, July 25: Scott Olsen (8-7)(FLA) vs. Brandon Webb (8-8)(ARI)

I seriously doubt Olsen will make this start. And if the reports of his actions have any truth he shouldn't be making any starts until he gets some serious help. Webb, however, is worthy of rooting for.
Marlins 0, Diamondbacks 7
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Marlins player of the game: (3B) Miguel Cabrera - WPA +.080
1/3, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 1BB, 0SO
Marlins lowest contributor: (SP) Scott Olsen - WPA -.295
5.0IP, 11H, 7R, 7ER, 3BB, 4SO, 1HR

Diamondbacks player of the game: (SP) Brandon Webb - WPA +.203
7.0IP, 6H, 0R, 0ER, 3BB, 8SO, 0HR
Diamondbacks lowest contributor: (SP) Brandon Webb (as a hitter) - WPA -.044
0/3, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 1SO

Scott Olsen: 5.0IP, 11H, 7R, 7ER, 3BB, 4SO, 1HR - L

Brandon Webb: 7.0IP, 6H, 0R, 0ER, 3BB, 8SO, 0HR - W

So Olsen posts bail and makes a terrible start. I can't imagine the Marlins tolerating him much longer. Webb, on the other hand, was brilliant as he shut out the fish.

Thursday, July 26: Justin Verlander (11-3)(DET) vs. John Danks (6-7)(CHW)

At 11-3 and a no-hitter I'm beginning to think that last year's AL Rookie of the Year might be pretty good.
Tigers 3, White Sox 4
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Tigers player of the game: (SS) Omar Infante - WPA +.176
1/1, 2R, 1HR, 1RBI, 1BB, 0SO
Tigers lowest contributor: (RP) Zach Miner - WPA -.309
1.0IP, 1H, 1R, 0ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR

White Sox player of the game: (LF) Scott Podsednik - WPA +.314
2/4, 1R, 0HR, 1RBI, 0BB, 1SO
White Sox lowest contributor: (C) AJ Pierzynski - WPA -.163
1/4, 1R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 1SO

Justin Verlander: 7.0IP, 3H, 3R, 3ER, 3BB, 5SO, 0HR - ND
Zach Miner: 1.0IP, 1H, 1R, 0ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR - BS, L

John Danks: 6.2IP, 6H, 3R, 3ER, 2BB, 5SO, 1HR - ND
Bobby Jenks: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 2SO, 0HR - W

Quality starts from both starters and they both come away with no decisions. Zach pretty much lost this one single handed.

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