Wednesday, June 27, 2007

3 Picks: AL Cy Young vs. the No-Hit Wonder & Two in Houston

Thursday, June 28: Aaron Cook (4-5)(COL) vs. Roy Oswalt (7-5)(HOU)

It's the battle of NL righties as Oswalt tries to lead the Houston toward .500. And Cook looks to keep the balls in the yard.
Rockies 5, Astros 8
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)

Rockies Player of the Game: (SS) Troy Tulowitzki - WPA +.324
3/5, 2R, 1HR, 1RBI, 0BB, 1SO
Rockies lowest contributor of the game: (RP) Brian Fuentes - WPA -.791
0.2IP, 3H, 4R, 4ER, 0BB, 1SO, 1HR

Astros Player of the Game: (OF) Carlos Lee - WPA +.637 (walk-off grand slam home run)
2/6, 1R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0BB, 0SO
Astros lowest contributor of the game: (RP) Chad Qualls - WPA -.385
0.0IP, 3H, 2R, 2ER, 0BB, 0SO, 1HR

Aaron Cook: 7.0IP, 7H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 2SO, 0HR - ND
LaTroy Hawkins: 0.2IP, 4H, 3R, 3ER, 0BB, 0SO, 2HR - BS
Brian Fuentes: 0.2IP, 3H, 4R, 4ER, 0BB, 1SO, 1HR - BS, L

Roy Oswalt: 7.0IP, 9H, 1R, 1ER, 2BB, 4SO, 1HR - ND
Brian Moehler: 1.0IP, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 1SO, 1HR - W

With each starting pitcher just giving up one run in 7 innings of work it's a shame that they both come away with a no decision. But a walk-off grand slam with 2 out in the bottom of the seventh is a treat for the fans.

Friday, June 29: Johan Santana (8-6)(MIN) vs. Justin Verlander (9-2)(DET)

This is one of those match-ups that just leaps out with so much potential as the two best of the AL Central - possibly the best in the AL - square off in this one.
Twins 11, Tigers 1
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)

Minnesota Twins player of the Game: (SP) Johan Santana - WPA +.245
6.0IP, 5H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 6SO, 1HR

Twins lowest contributor: (OF) Torii Hunter - WPA -.049
2/5, 1R, 2H, 0HR, 1RBI, 0BB, 1SO

Detroit Tigers player of the Game: (2B) Placido Polanco - WPA +.040
3/4, 1R, 1HR, 1RBI, 0BB, 0SO

Detroit Tigers lowest contributor: (SP) Justin Verlander - WPA -.228
5.0IP, 4H, 6R, 6ER, 5BB, 5SO, 1HR

Johan Santana: 6.0IP, 5H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 6SO, 1HR - W

Justin Verlander: 5.0IP, 4H, 6R, 6ER, 5BB, 5SO, 1HR - L

The one-time no-hit wonder gave up 4 hits in this one and 6 of the 11 runs that the Twins put on the board in this blowout. Johan is amazing. And there's a lot of understatement in that.

Saturday, June 30: Jeff Francis (7-5)(COL) vs. Jason Jennings (1-2)(HOU)

It's the Rockies pitcher versus the former Rockies pitcher as Jennings puts his nasty sinker to work in Houston. I really expected Jennings to be much more successful than 1-2 with the Astros.

Rockies 5, Astros 0(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Rockies Player of the Game: (SP) Jeff Francis - WPA +.391
7.0IP, 3H, 0R, 0ER, 4BB, 4SO, 0HR

Rockies lowest contributer of the game: (C) Chris Iannetta - WPA -.065
0/4, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 2SO

Astros Player of the Game: (2B) Craig Biggio - WPA +.040
2/4, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 1SO

Astros lowest contributer of the game: (OF) Hunter Pence - WPA -.112
0/4, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 0BB, 1SO

Jeff Francis: 7.0IP, 3H, 0R, 0ER, 4BB, 4SO, 0HR - W

Jason Jennings: 7.0IP, 5H, 3R, 3ER, 2BB, 6SO, 0HR - L

Despite the quality start for Jennings, he gets charged with the loss. He goes to 1-3 on the year thanks to the lackluster Astros offense (those three words just go together somehow) and Francis' ability to shut out the impatient bats of Houston.

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