Saturday, June 02, 2007

3 Picks: BoSox & Yanks... it's an East Coast Bias

Sunday, June 3: Andy Pettitte (3-4)(NYY) vs. Josh Beckett (8-0)(BOS)

Still undefeated and running with a hot Red Sox lineup and rotation Josh Beckett wages more baseball warfare at home against the last place Yankees. It's been a long, long time since "Yankees" and "last place" have been strung together with accuracy. And Andy Pettitte - much like the pending return of the Rocket on Monday - is indicative of the Bronx Bombers' efforts to reclaim their past greatness and falling just short.(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Andy Pettitte: 4.1IP, 7H, 5R, 5ER, 1BB, 3SO, 0HR - ND
Brian Bruney: 1.0IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR - W
Mariano Rivera: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 2SO, 0HR - SV

Josh Beckett: 6.1IP, 8H, 4R, 4ER, 3BB, 5SO, 0HR - ND
Brendan Donnelly: 0.1IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - H
Hideki Okajima: 1.1IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - BS
Jonathan Papelbon: 1.0IP, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 2SO, 1HR - L

Anybody else notice that Pettitte hasn't been as sharp as he used to be? He wasn't on his game last year with the Astros and returning to the AL East hasn't brought back the old Andy. This was not a good start from him. Beckett looked very good. And gets to remain undefeated via the no decision. The Yankees still have a very good offensive lineup and they can still get inside the Red Sox pitchers' heads. They'll improve over the next few months. So Boston had better work on keeping their lead in the division race.

Monday, June 4: Roger Clemens (0-0)(NYY) vs. Jon Garland (3-3)(CHW)

The Rocket - mercenary starting pitcher for hire in his late years - returns to save the Yankees. It must be nice to sit out the first couple months of the season before collecting $18+ million for the most desparate, deep pocket organization running. The Yanks will probably pull themselves out of their current tail spin. But Clemens' contribution to that move will probably not be overwhelming. Plus, Garland has the goods to match up against the old ace.(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Matt DeSalvo: 1.1IP, 4H, 3R, 2ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR - L

Jon Garland: 8.1IP, 7H, 2R, 1ER, 3BB, 3SO, 0HR - W
Bobby Jenks: 0.2IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - SV

No old aces for Garland this time. With the uncomfortable proximity of the words "Rocket" and "fatigued groin," Clemens was "scratched" (oh my) from this start. Rookie starter Matt DeSalvo couldn't pitch his way out of the second inning as the Yankees' starting rotation continues to look like an emergency situation.

Tuesday, June 5: Daisuke Matsuzaka (7-3)(BOS) vs. Lenny DiNardo (1-2)(OAK)

Can't... take... eyes... off... every... Dice-K... start...(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Daisuke Matsuzaka: 7.0IP, 7H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 8SO, 1HR - L

Lenny DiNardo: 6.0IP, 2H, 0R, 0ER, 6BB, 0SO, 0HR - W
Kiko Calero: 1.0IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 1BB, 1SO, 0HR - H
Jay Marshall: 0.2IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - H
Colby Lewis: 0.1IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - H
Alan Embree: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - SV

A strong outing from Dice-K, but he's defeated by the combined shutout from Oakland's pitching staff. DiNardo was a little wild - with 6 walks and no strike outs - but it's the no runs allowed on 2 hits that earns him a win. Let the talk of June Swoon begin in bean town.

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