Tuesday, May 15, 2007

3 Picks: Interleague Time is Upon Us

Wednesday, May 16: Bronson Arroyo (2-3)(CIN) vs. Jake Peavy (5-1)(SD)

These pitchers are having the kind of year people expected from them last year. Which is to say Peavy is impressive this year and Arroyo is back to under-achieving.(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Bronson Arroyo: 8.0IP, 10H, 3R, 1ER, 2BB, 6SO, 0HR - L

Jake Peavy: 7.0IP, 9H, 2R, 2ER, 1BB 5SO, 0HR - ND
Trevor Hoffman: 1.0IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - W

Arroyo got the complete game the hard way - 8 innings in a losing effort as the visiting team. It seems like Peavy can toss 5 strikeouts or 15. The Padres will find a way to keep him from recording a win regardless.

Thursday, May 17: Ben Sheets (3-2)(MIL) vs. Freddy Garcia (1-2)(PHI)

How will Freddy fare against Prince Fielder, JJ Hardy and the crew? I keep waiting for Garcia to turn it on for the Phillies. And there's some bats in the Brewers' lineup that could test him in this one.
(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Ben Sheets: 7.2IP, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 1BB, 8SO, 0HR - W
Francisco Cordero: 1.1IP, 1H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 2SO, 0HR - SV

Freddy Garcia: 5.2IP, 7H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 5SO, 2HR - L

Okay, so it was Gabe Gross who ended up taking Freddy deep... twice. Garcia actually pitched well as those two home runs came with the bases empty. But Ben Sheets was just unbelievable in this one.

Friday, May 18: Barry Zito (3-4)(SF) vs. Chad Gaudin (2-1)(OAK)

Barry Zito's trip over the Bay Bridge to face his old team is going to be getting a lot of the attention this year as interleague play starts up.(Win Probability graphing by Fangraphs)
Barry Zito: 4.0IP, 6H, 7R, 7ER, 7BB, 2SO, 1HR - L

Chad Gaudin: 6.0IP, 7H, 2H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 2SO, 0HR - W

Ouch! You'd think Zito would know how to pitch to American League hitters... but then I guess he never faced the A's when he was pitching for them. It was as if he was still playing for his old team as he walked 7! in just 4 innings of work. That's a WHIP of 3.25 for the appearance and a recipe for a blowout.

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