3 Picks: Following the Phillies and a Dice-K Start

Monday, May 7: Freddy Garcia (1-2)(PHI) vs. Doug Davis (2-3)(ARI)

Two starting pitchers looking to endear themselves to their new teams. Both have losing records thus far and a chance to reach .500 with a win in this contest.
(Win Probability Graphing by Fangraphs)
Freddy Garcia: 6.0IP, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 0BB, 2SO, 0HR - ND
Francisco Rosario: 1.0IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 0SO, 0HR - L

Doug Davis: 6.0IP, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 3BB, 4SO, 0HR - ND
Tony Pena: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - BS
Brandon Lyon: 1.0IP, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - BS, W
Jose Valverde: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 0SO, 0HR - SV

Another tough break for the Phillies. They're overdue to start having things go in their favor at some point. Though I think a lot of folks underestimate the D-Backs.

Tuesday, May 8: Adam Eaton (3-2)(PHI) vs. Micah Owings (1-1)(ARI)


Owings is the rookie the D-Backs turned to when the Big Unit wasn't up for his first time around in the rotation. And he's shown a lot of potential since then.
(Win Probability Graphing by Fangraphs)
Adam Eaton: 7.0IP, 7H, 3R, 3ER, 1BB, 4SO, 2HR - L

Micah Owings: 7.0IP, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 2SO, 2HR - W
Brandon Lyon: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 2SO, 0HR - H
Tony Pena: 1.0IP, 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1SO, 0HR - SV

The Phillies seem to be all set to dig themselves into a deep hole this season. It's going to get really ugly if they don't turn things around soon. Though the smart money was on Owings over Eaton in this one.

Wednesday, May 9: Daisuke Matsuzaka (3-2)(BOS) vs. Tomo Ohka (2-3)(TOR)

The Dice-K obsession makes a return trip to Toronto.(Win Probability Graphing by Fangraphs)
Daisuke Matsuzaka: 7.0IP, 5H, 1R, 1ER, 3BB, 8SO, 1HR - W

Tomo Ohka: 4.2IP, 6H, 3R, 3ER, 5BB, 2SO, 0HR - L

The Blue Jays are reeling in a big way. (Not unlike the Phillies.) The Red Sox had no problem figuring out Tomo Ohka.